Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.792814 2.152539 2.557156 3.044680 3.614798 4.258985 5.040523
2026-01-04 1.301983 1.763477 2.339513 3.105930 4.092755 5.313828 6.931442
2026-01-11 1.027994 1.538409 2.232113 3.231561 4.619816 6.462715 9.073243
2026-01-18 0.809376 1.322545 2.073745 3.232620 4.948955 7.364910 10.981254
2026-01-25 0.627471 1.112104 1.871433 3.117478 5.071474 7.967590 12.515993
2026-02-01 0.493537 0.943627 1.694574 2.998370 5.151138 8.492193 13.967014
2026-02-08 0.411117 0.842074 1.602964 2.992072 5.392296 9.270045 15.862131
2026-02-15 0.348020 0.760699 1.528962 2.998365 5.645422 10.081100 17.876101
2026-02-22 0.291890 0.679892 1.440338 2.961365 5.812440 10.757841 19.723604
2026-03-01 0.234306 0.582850 1.302979 2.810393 5.751272 11.031531 20.905082
2026-03-08 0.198378 0.524212 1.230602 2.771288 5.886737 11.654703 22.739087
2026-03-15 0.170481 0.477465 1.174288 2.754436 6.059105 12.355134 24.765214
2026-03-22 0.159042 0.468851 1.200952 2.918184 6.615364 13.834238 28.374626
2026-03-29 0.142944 0.444823 1.188923 2.996833 7.007910 15.039867 31.580349
2026-04-05 0.131689 0.431084 1.198575 3.124885 7.517943 16.519575 35.433438
2026-04-12 0.115233 0.398693 1.156947 3.127920 7.757387 17.478902 38.345737
2026-04-19 0.096040 0.353048 1.073095 3.016770 7.728550 17.884482 40.181916
2026-04-26 0.079828 0.311923 0.992934 2.901338 7.673608 18.225877 41.908824
2026-05-03 0.070026 0.288907 0.957923 2.895281 7.872899 19.125403 44.863895
2026-05-10 0.061925 0.269417 0.929253 2.901408 8.101470 20.107175 48.067644
2026-05-17 0.053712 0.247024 0.887570 2.865498 8.221126 20.854524 50.820082
2026-05-24 0.043960 0.215476 0.811020 2.718966 8.041403 20.901331 52.031119
2026-05-31 0.038100 0.197509 0.774067 2.681015 8.138806 21.599272 54.752695